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Friday 2 February 2018

Why is Oxford the UK’s least affordable City?


On average a UK City home costs 7 times annual average income, not since 2007 has property been less affordable when the average was 7.5 times annual average income.

Contrary to popular belief London is not the least affordable City when property price is compared to average income, that dubious accolade goes to Oxford, out on its own at 11.5 times average earnings.  Next comes our other world-famous city of learning Cambridge at 10.5 times earnings.

Each of London, Oxford and Cambridge have average house prices above £400,000 with Oxford average price being £422,055 over the last 12 months.


Whilst London property has stagnated during 2017, the Capital has also experienced the strongest earnings growth, rising out of the credit crunch malaise faster and stronger than Cities such as Oxford, Cambridge and Bath.  Cities popular with commuters to London such as Brighton and Winchester have also experienced property price inflation with people benefitting from London earnings demanding property and widening the gap for people who live and work locally.


Despite fewer completed sales, demand for Oxford homes has remained strong.  In north Oxford, Kidlington property saw increases as high as 25% during 2015 and 2016 due to the new Oxford Parkway station making the village a commuting hotspot, and whilst price growth stagnated in 2017, Kidlington remains a buoyant local market.


So why is Oxford so expensive?  First and foremost, Oxford offers a superb built environment combining historic and modern architecture and vibrant sports and leisure attractions.  It is a Cit that attracts 30,000 students annually many of whom live in private rented properties, and is a world recognised seat of learning and centre for the knowledge industries.  It is strategically located in the Centre of England offering easy access North, South, East and West, and is surrounded by beautiful Cotswold countryside.  Who wouldn’t want to live in Oxford?
But, the City and County Councils have failed to enable and encourage sufficient new build homes, resulting in a supply constrained property market.  In 2017, less than 1% of the homes sold in Oxford were new build.  That under-supply of new affordable homes to suitable for first-time buyers and/or to down-sizing retired residents, is causing there to be a chronic under-supply of 2 and 3 bedroom homes.  Whlst Government policy aimed at helping first time buyers is positive, in Oxford first time buyers are not limited by stamp duty, but rather the size of deposit required by mortgage lenders.
For people who own an Oxford home the strength in values is an important part of their wealth planning, for the city as a whole it is the biggest strategic risk that the City faces.  At present it is hard to see how local or national public policy will address this crisis.

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