Talk to some Oxford 20 something, for whom home ownership appears
a vague dream, and they are vexatious towards the Baby Boomer generation and
their pushover walk through life, their free university education, their eye
watering property windfalls, their golden final salary pensions and their free
bus passes.
If you bought a property in Oxford for £25,000 in first quarter
of 1977, today it would be worth £549,429, an increase of 2097.7%.
But to blame the 60 and 70 year olds of Oxford for that seems
a little unfair. The mature generations joined the property party in the 1970’s
and 1980’s when they were allowed to take out huge mortgages, protected by
the knowledge that inflation would corrode the real value of the mortgage, increase
property prices, while boosting wage growth enhancing their ability to repay.
Unlike Government, neither do I blame the multitude of Oxford
buy to let landlords, buying up their 10th or 11th property to add to their buy
to let portfolio. They too, merely reacted to the peculiar historic inducements
of the UK property market.
Surely someone is to blame?
Margaret Thatcher and Nigel Lawson are also good people to
blame - selling off millions of council houses at knock-down values and delaying
ending of the MIRAS tax relief in 1987. The Blair/Brown combo doubled stamp
duty in 1997 and again in 2000, which, as a tax on property transactions,
precluding a more equitable distribution of current housing stock. And,
our current Government has had plenty of opportunity to change the stamp duty
rules to incentivise those mature Oxford house movers to downsize, but have
failed to act.
It’s easy to think the only reason that hundreds of first time buyers have been priced out of the Oxford housing market is because of private landlords. Yet, I believe they are undervalued. With first time buyers struggling to save for a deposit, if it weren’t for those landlords buying up homes we would have a bigger housing crisis than we have today. Since the global financial crisis of 2008/9, local councils have cut services, and haven’t had enough money to build new homes. Homes that were provided to Oxford instead by buy to let landlords helping to reduce the scale of the current crisis.
657 homes are being bought by buy to let landlords each year in
the Oxford City Council area when otherwise they might have been available to
other buyers. But at a time when the
current national average deposit is £51,800, most young people are simply
unable to meet lenders’ demands. And, homes bought by local landlords are not standing
empty, instead they equate to 4,596 of homes for local people, most of whom either
see renting as a preferred option given the flexibility required by the early
years of their professional lives, or accept that they cannot yet meet lender
demands for deposits.
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