This fascinating question was posed by the 11-year-old son of
one of my landlords when they both popped into my offices before the Christmas break. I thought to myself, that over the Christmas
break, I would sit down and try calculate what the total value of all the
properties in Oxford are worth. And just
for fun, work out how much they have gone up in value since his son was born
back in the autumn of 2005.
In the last 11 years, since the autumn of 2005, the total value of
Oxford property has increased by 98% or £14.29 billion to a total of £28.88
billion. Interesting, when you consider the FTSE100 has only risen by 30.78%
and inflation (i.e. the UK Retail Price Index) rose by 37% during the same 11
years.
When I delved deeper into the numbers, the average price
currently being paid by Oxford households stands at £526,335. But I wasn’t
going to stop there, so I split the property market down into individual property
types in Oxford; the average numbers come out like this.
Oxford Property
Market
|
|||
Average Value of a
Detached Property
|
Average Value of a
Semi-Detached Property
|
Average Value of a
Terraced/Town House Property
|
Average Value of an
Apartment
|
£862,650
|
£592,037
|
£482,151
|
£280,733
|
When I multiplied the total number of each type of property by
the average value. Even though detached houses are so expensive, when you
compare them with the much cheaper terraced/town houses and semi-detached
houses, you can quite clearly see detached properties are no match in terms of
total pound note value of the terraced/town houses and semi-detached houses.
Total Value of all
the Oxford Detached Properties
|
Total Value of all
the Oxford Semi-Detached Properties
|
Total Value of all
the Oxford Terraced/Town House Properties
|
Total Value of all
the Oxford Apartments
|
£5,652,945,450
|
£10,658,442,111
|
£7,669,093,806
|
£4,897,948,651
|
So, what does this all mean for Oxford? Well, as we enter the unchartered waters of
2017 and beyond, even though property values are already declining in certain
parts of the previously over cooked Central London property market, the outlook
in Oxford remains relatively good, as over the last five years, the local
property market was a lot more sensible than central London’s.
I predict that Oxford house values will remain resilient for
several reasons: firstly, demand for rental property remains strong with
continued immigration
and population growth; secondly, with
0.25 per cent interest rates, borrowing has never been so cheap; and, thirdly,
the simple lack of new house building in Oxford which is not keeping up with current
demand, let alone eating into years and years of under investment – means only
one thing –Oxford will ride out the storm.
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